SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 47%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.91%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Minnesota United |
47% ( 0) | 22.65% ( 0) | 30.35% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 64.21% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.66% ( -0.01) | 36.34% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.54% ( -0.01) | 58.46% ( 0.01) |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.09% ( -0) | 15.91% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.85% ( -0.01) | 45.15% ( 0.01) |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.36% ( -0.01) | 23.64% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.26% ( -0.01) | 57.74% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.91% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.36% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.62% 3-2 @ 4.05% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.89% 4-1 @ 2.58% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.86% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.79% 5-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.82% Total : 47% | 1-1 @ 9.97% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.61% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.76% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.95% ( -0)Other @ 0.36% Total : 22.65% | 1-2 @ 7.19% 0-1 @ 5.42% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.91% 1-3 @ 3.46% 2-3 @ 3.18% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.88% 1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 2.93% Total : 30.36% |
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