Major League Soccer

Sep 11, 2022 at 3am UK

Jeld-Wen Field

Portland
1 - 0
Minnesota Utd

Asprilla (61')
Bravo (43'), McGraw (85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Lawrence (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Portland Timbers 2-1 Minnesota United

The status of Reynoso will be a major storyline heading into this encounter, but whether he plays or not, we would still back Portland to win this match, given the momentum they have heading into this weekend along with their ability to consistently elevate their play at the most opportune of moments. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 54.64%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 22.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (5.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.

Result
Portland Timbers	Draw	Minnesota United
54.64% ( 0.16)	22.59% ( 0.01)	22.77% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 57.1% (

-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.47% (

-0.25)

42.52% (

0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.07% (

-0.25)

64.93% (

0.25)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.51% (

-0.03)

15.49% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.62% (

-0.06)

44.38% (

0.06)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.56% (

-0.28)

32.43% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.04% (

-0.32)

68.96% (

0.32)

Score Analysis

Portland Timbers 54.64%

Minnesota United 22.77%

Draw 22.59%

Portland Timbers	Draw	Minnesota United
2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.37% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 6.12% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.85% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.7% Total : 54.64%	1-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.59%	1-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.66% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 22.77%