SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 53.75%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 23.23% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-2 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
53.75% ( -0.01) | 23.02% ( 0) | 23.23% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 56.24% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.07% ( -0.01) | 43.93% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.68% ( -0.01) | 66.31% ( 0.01) |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.71% ( -0) | 16.29% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.14% ( -0.01) | 45.86% ( 0.01) |
| Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.19% | 32.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.63% | 69.37% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Minnesota United | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
| 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.7% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.8% 3-1 @ 5.93% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.32% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.31% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.69% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.41% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 3.31% Total : 53.75% | 1-1 @ 10.81% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.47% 0-0 @ 5.35% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.02% | 1-2 @ 6.02% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.96% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.32% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.24% 2-3 @ 2.03% 0-3 @ 1.23% ( 0)Other @ 2.43% Total : 23.23% |
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