SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 65.61%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 14.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.57%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for CF Montreal in this match.
| Result | ||
| CF Montreal | Draw | Orlando City |
65.61% ( 1.2) | 20.12% ( -0.36) | 14.27% ( -0.84) |
| Both teams to score 49.19% ( -0.93) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.92% ( -0.15) | 45.08% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.57% ( -0.15) | 67.43% ( 0.15) |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.09% ( 0.31) | 12.91% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.66% ( 0.62) | 39.34% ( -0.61) |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.48% ( -1.27) | 43.52% ( 1.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.28% ( -1.07) | 79.73% ( 1.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| CF Montreal | Draw | Orlando City |
| 2-0 @ 11.77% ( 0.34) 1-0 @ 11.5% ( 0.21)2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.32)3-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.21)4-1 @ 3.42% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.08)5-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.04)Other @ 3% Total : 65.6% | 1-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.86% Total : 20.12% | 0-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.21)0-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.1)Other @ 1.44% Total : 14.27% |
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