Major League Soccer

Sep 10, 2022 at 12.30am UK

Saputo Stadium

Montreal
2 - 2
Columbus Crew

Wanyama (89'), Brault-Guillard (90+4')
Camacho (11'), Waterman (64')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mensah (66'), Zelarayan (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and Columbus Crew, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: CF Montreal 2-0 Columbus Crew

You would think that Zelerayan is far too valuable to the Crew's success to sit out of a match with so much at stake at this stage of the season. However, if he plays, and is not 100% as reports suggest, chances could be hard to come by for a Columbus side who filter most of their attacks through the 30-year-old Armenian international. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 53.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 22.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Columbus Crew win it was 0-1 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
CF Montreal	Draw	Columbus Crew
53.73% ( -0.02)	23.4% ( 0.04)	22.87% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 54.53% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.01% (

-0.17)

45.99% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.71% (

-0.16)

68.29% (

0.16)

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.95% (

-0.07)

17.04% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.8% (

-0.12)

47.2% (

0.13)

Columbus Crew Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.74% (

-0.1)

34.26% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.04% (

-0.11)

70.96% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

CF Montreal 53.73%

Columbus Crew 22.87%

Draw 23.39%

CF Montreal	Draw	Columbus Crew
1-0 @ 10.33% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.14% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.77% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.39% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.55% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 3% Total : 53.73%	1-1 @ 11.06% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.39%	0-1 @ 6.26% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.93% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.35% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 2.15% Total : 22.87%