Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia Union | 30 | 42 | 60 |
2 | CF Montreal | 30 | 10 | 53 |
3 | New York Red Bulls | 30 | 7 | 47 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | New York City FC | 30 | 14 | 46 |
5 | Orlando City | 28 | -5 | 42 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 29 | 6 | 41 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 62.68%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 16.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.
Result | ||
Philadelphia Union | Draw | Orlando City |
62.68% ( -0.52) | 20.81% ( -0.03) | 16.51% ( 0.54) |
Both teams to score 52.25% ( 1.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.27% ( 1.1) | 43.73% ( -1.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.88% ( 1.06) | 66.12% ( -1.07) |
Philadelphia Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.64% ( 0.19) | 13.35% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.76% ( 0.38) | 40.23% ( -0.38) |
Orlando City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.31% ( 1.35) | 39.69% ( -1.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.63% ( 1.22) | 76.36% ( -1.23) |
Score Analysis |
Philadelphia Union | Draw | Orlando City |
2-0 @ 10.74% ( -0.36) 1-0 @ 10.66% ( -0.45) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 6.66% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.14) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.08) 5-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.04% Total : 62.67% | 1-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.81% | 0-1 @ 4.9% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.1) Other @ 1.98% Total : 16.51% |
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