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Major League Soccer
Sep 11, 2022 at 12.30am UK
PPL Park
OC

Philadelphia
5 - 1
Orlando City

Mbaizo (39'), Uhre (43'), Gazdag (55' pen.), Bedoya (63'), Elliott (87')
Flach (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Perea (75')
Schlegel (65')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Orlando City 3-2 Seattle
Thursday, September 1 at 2.22am in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 3-1 Orlando City

Although Orlando have won their last five games, we think that their winning run will come to an end when they face a Philadelphia side who are looking to clinch an eighth consecutive home victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 62.68%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 16.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawOrlando City
62.68% (-0.522 -0.52) 20.81% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03) 16.51% (0.54 0.54)
Both teams to score 52.25% (1.278 1.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.27% (1.097 1.1)43.73% (-1.101 -1.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.88% (1.064 1.06)66.12% (-1.068 -1.07)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.64% (0.185 0.19)13.35% (-0.19 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.76% (0.379 0.38)40.23% (-0.383 -0.38)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.31% (1.349 1.35)39.69% (-1.353 -1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.63% (1.223 1.22)76.36% (-1.229 -1.23)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 62.67%
    Orlando City 16.51%
    Draw 20.81%
Philadelphia UnionDrawOrlando City
2-0 @ 10.74% (-0.36 -0.36)
1-0 @ 10.66% (-0.45 -0.45)
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 7.21% (-0.193 -0.19)
3-1 @ 6.66% (0.069 0.07)
4-0 @ 3.63% (-0.071 -0.07)
4-1 @ 3.35% (0.058 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.08% (0.143 0.14)
4-2 @ 1.55% (0.082 0.08)
5-0 @ 1.46% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.35% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 62.67%
1-1 @ 9.86% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.3% (-0.259 -0.26)
2-2 @ 4.59% (0.181 0.18)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.077 0.08)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 20.81%
0-1 @ 4.9% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-2 @ 4.56% (0.149 0.15)
0-2 @ 2.26% (0.059 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.41% (0.105 0.11)
1-3 @ 1.4% (0.096 0.1)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 16.51%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 0-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, September 4 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 4-1 Atlanta
Thursday, September 1 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 6-0 Colorado
Sunday, August 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 0-6 Philadelphia
Sunday, August 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 1-0 Philadelphia
Thursday, August 18 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 4-1 Chicago Fire
Sunday, August 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 3-2 Seattle
Thursday, September 1 at 2.22am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 2-1 NY City
Monday, August 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 1-2 Orlando City
Monday, August 22 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 0-1 Orlando City
Saturday, August 13 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 0-3 New England
Sunday, August 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 2-1 Orlando City
Sunday, July 31 at 10pm in Major League Soccer


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