Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 46.13%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.72%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 2-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.
Result | ||
Inter Miami | Draw | CF Montreal |
30.48% ( 0.13) | 23.38% ( 0.08) | 46.13% ( -0.22) |
Both teams to score 61.6% ( -0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.2% ( -0.34) | 39.8% ( 0.33) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.84% ( -0.35) | 62.15% ( 0.35) |
Inter Miami Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.72% ( -0.09) | 25.27% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.96% ( -0.12) | 60.03% ( 0.12) |
CF Montreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.43% ( -0.22) | 17.56% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.88% ( -0.38) | 48.11% ( 0.37) |
Score Analysis |
Inter Miami | Draw | CF Montreal |
2-1 @ 7.3% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.35% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.54% Total : 30.48% | 1-1 @ 10.61% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.37% | 1-2 @ 9.24% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.35% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.89% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.33% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.92% Total : 46.13% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: