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Major League Soccer
Oct 9, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
New Fort Lauderdale Stadium
MI

Inter Miami
1 - 3
Montreal

Waterman (85' og.)
Yedlin (38'), Lowe (40')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Mihailovic (5'), Lappalainen (8'), Kamara (36')
Miller (2'), Piette (25')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Miami 4-1 Orlando City
Thursday, October 6 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 1-0 DC United
Sunday, October 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Inter Miami 1-2 CF Montreal

Both of these sides have come a long way from a season ago, but we are giving Montreal the edge because they have managed to win matches thanks to some solid collective efforts, whereas Miami have depended heavily on their designated players, Higuain and Campana, to get by. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 46.13%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.72%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 2-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawCF Montreal
30.48% (0.127 0.13) 23.38% (0.084 0.08) 46.13% (-0.217 -0.22)
Both teams to score 61.6% (-0.233 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.2% (-0.34 -0.34)39.8% (0.33499999999999 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.84% (-0.354 -0.35)62.15% (0.349 0.35)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.72% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)25.27% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.96% (-0.123 -0.12)60.03% (0.117 0.12)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.43% (-0.217 -0.22)17.56% (0.212 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.88% (-0.376 -0.38)48.11% (0.372 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 30.48%
    CF Montreal 46.13%
    Draw 23.37%
Inter MiamiDrawCF Montreal
2-1 @ 7.3% (0.027 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.11% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 4.2% (0.044 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.35% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.93% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 30.48%
1-1 @ 10.61% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 6.35% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.44% (0.069 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.69% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.37%
1-2 @ 9.24% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.72% (0.066 0.07)
0-2 @ 6.71% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.35% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.89% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.68% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.33% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.69% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.6% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 46.13%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Inter Miami 4-1 Orlando City
Thursday, October 6 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 0-1 Inter Miami
Saturday, October 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 2-3 Inter Miami
Sunday, September 18 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 Columbus Crew
Wednesday, September 14 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 3-1 Inter Miami
Sunday, September 11 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 1-0 Inter Miami
Thursday, September 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 1-0 DC United
Sunday, October 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 0-1 Montreal
Sunday, September 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 3-2 Chicago Fire
Wednesday, September 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 2-2 Columbus Crew
Saturday, September 10 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 3-4 Montreal
Monday, September 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 0-1 NY Red Bulls
Thursday, September 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer


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