There may be more clinical finishers on the TFC side when compared to Orlando, but Toronto leave too many gaps in their third of the field and rely a little too heavily on their Italians to carry them through. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 55.01%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 22.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Toronto win it was 1-2 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.

Result
Orlando City	Draw	Toronto
55.01% ( -1.81)	22.66% ( 0.46)	22.32% ( 1.34)

Both teams to score 56.25% (

0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.63% (

-0.42)

43.36% (

0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.24% (

-0.42)

65.76% (

0.41)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.34% (

-0.74)

15.66% (

0.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.31% (

-1.4)

44.69% (

1.4)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.69% (

1.02)

33.31% (

-1.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.07% (

1.11)

69.92% (

-1.11)

Score Analysis

Orlando City 55.02%

Toronto 22.32%

Draw 22.66%

Orlando City	Draw	Toronto
2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 9.67% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 8.96% ( -0.31) 3-1 @ 6.09% ( -0.2) 3-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.34) 3-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.82% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.23) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.09) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.6% Total : 55.02%	1-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.66%	1-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.28) 0-1 @ 5.73% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.23) 1-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.31% Total : 22.32%