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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 39.52%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Miami | Draw | Orlando City |
39.52% ( -0.2) | 25.97% ( 0.09) | 34.51% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 54.11% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.77% ( -0.39) | 50.23% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.81% ( -0.35) | 72.19% ( 0.35) |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75% ( -0.28) | 25% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.34% ( -0.39) | 59.65% ( 0.4) |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.15% ( -0.13) | 27.85% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.54% ( -0.16) | 63.45% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Miami | Draw | Orlando City |
| 1-0 @ 9.65% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.69% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.61% Total : 39.52% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.96% | 0-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 7.89% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.85% Total : 34.51% |
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