SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 55.58%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 23.33% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.48%) and 1-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (5.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atlanta United | Draw | Minnesota United |
55.58% ( -0.92) | 21.09% ( 0.3) | 23.33% ( 0.62) |
| Both teams to score 63.21% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.2% ( -0.71) | 34.8% ( 0.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.23% ( -0.79) | 56.76% ( 0.79) |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.42% ( -0.5) | 12.58% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.34% ( -1.03) | 38.65% ( 1.03) |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.31% ( 0.1) | 27.69% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.75% ( 0.13) | 63.24% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atlanta United | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 5.17% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.08)5-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.07)4-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.03)5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.45% Total : 55.58% | 1-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.34% Total : 21.09% | 1-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.17)0-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.61% Total : 23.33% |
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