SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 46.29%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Minnesota United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
46.29% ( -0.04) | 24.05% ( 0.02) | 29.66% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 58.69% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.6% ( -0.1) | 43.4% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.2% ( -0.1) | 65.8% ( 0.1) |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.07% ( -0.06) | 18.92% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.57% ( -0.09) | 50.43% ( 0.09) |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.4% ( -0.04) | 27.6% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.87% ( -0.05) | 63.13% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Minnesota United | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.17% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.02% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.67% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.31% Total : 46.29% | 1-1 @ 11.19% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.05% | 1-2 @ 7.21% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.09% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.86% ( 0)1-4 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 2.89% Total : 29.66% |
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