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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.3%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chicago Fire | Draw | Atlanta United |
42.44% ( -1.25) | 23.62% ( -0.08) | 33.94% ( 1.33) |
| Both teams to score 62.27% ( 0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.42% ( 0.82) | 39.58% ( -0.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.07% ( 0.85) | 61.93% ( -0.85) |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.01% ( -0.19) | 18.99% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.46% ( -0.32) | 50.55% ( 0.33) |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.87% ( 1.15) | 23.13% ( -1.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43% ( 1.65) | 57% ( -1.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chicago Fire | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.33)2-0 @ 6.06% ( -0.31)3-1 @ 4.91% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.2)4-1 @ 2.04% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.41% Total : 42.44% | 1-1 @ 10.68% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.11)0-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.17)3-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.62% | 1-2 @ 7.82% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 6.43% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 3.82% ( 0.21)2-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.16)0-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.14)1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.12)2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.09)Other @ 3.14% Total : 33.94% |
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