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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 57.46%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for DC United had a probability of 19.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nashville SC | Draw | DC United |
57.46% ( 0.03) | 23.01% ( -0.01) | 19.53% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.95% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.62% ( 0.03) | 48.37% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.48% ( 0.02) | 70.51% ( -0.02) |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.42% ( 0.02) | 16.58% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.62% ( 0.03) | 46.37% ( -0.03) |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.08% ( -0) | 38.92% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.35% ( -0) | 75.65% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nashville SC | Draw | DC United |
| 1-0 @ 11.59% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.41% 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.24% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.89% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.8% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.65% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.01% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 2.04% Total : 57.44% | 1-1 @ 10.94% 0-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.64% Other @ 0.97% Total : 23.01% | 0-1 @ 6.09% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.16% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.87% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.62% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.46% 0-3 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 1.42% Total : 19.53% |
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