SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 50.83%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 24.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for an Atlanta United win it was 0-1 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Atlanta United |
50.83% ( 1.91) | 24.7% ( -0.64) | 24.47% ( -1.27) |
| Both teams to score 52.24% ( 0.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.09% ( 1.56) | 49.91% ( -1.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.1% ( 1.38) | 71.9% ( -1.38) |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.36% ( 1.41) | 19.64% ( -1.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.4% ( 2.26) | 51.6% ( -2.26) |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65% ( -0.24) | 34.99% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.26% ( -0.25) | 71.74% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 1-0 @ 11.18% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.31)3-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.33)3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.21)4-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.21)4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.9% Total : 50.82% | 1-1 @ 11.74% ( -0.31) 0-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.45)2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.69% | 0-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.52) 1-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.2)0-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.3)1-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.06% Total : 24.47% |
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