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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 60.48%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 18.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 1-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 1-2 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atlanta United | Draw | New England Revolution |
60.48% ( 0.11) | 20.72% ( -0.04) | 18.8% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 57.28% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.65% ( 0.11) | 39.35% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.31% ( 0.11) | 61.69% ( -0.11) |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.38% ( 0.07) | 12.62% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.26% ( 0.13) | 38.74% ( -0.13) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.55% ( -0) | 34.44% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.84% ( -0) | 71.16% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atlanta United | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.31% 1-0 @ 9% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.85% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.54% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.73% Total : 60.48% | 1-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.72% | 1-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.63% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.82% ( -0)Other @ 2.89% Total : 18.8% |
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