SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 58.46%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 18.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New England Revolution | Draw | Chicago Fire |
58.46% ( -1.2) | 22.84% ( 0.25) | 18.69% ( 0.94) |
| Both teams to score 50.04% ( 0.93) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.14% ( 0.37) | 48.86% ( -0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.04% ( 0.33) | 70.95% ( -0.34) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.59% ( -0.28) | 16.4% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.94% ( -0.51) | 46.05% ( 0.5) |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.86% ( 1.31) | 40.14% ( -1.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.22% ( 1.18) | 76.78% ( -1.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| New England Revolution | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 1-0 @ 11.9% ( -0.29) 2-0 @ 10.75% ( -0.38)2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.48% ( -0.29)3-1 @ 5.92% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.03% Total : 58.45% | 1-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.17)Other @ 0.91% Total : 22.84% | 0-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.23)0-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.11% Total : 18.69% |
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