With the two most porous teams in the MLS going head-to-head, we are anticipating an exciting affair and goals at both ends. That said, we just about fancy Chicago Fire to come out on top in the end.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 47.87%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 27.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
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