SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colorado Rapids win with a probability of 60.99%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 17.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colorado Rapids win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Colorado Rapids would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Colorado Rapids | Draw | Austin FC |
60.99% ( 0.09) | 21.63% ( -0.01) | 17.38% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 51.39% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.2% ( -0.1) | 45.8% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.88% ( -0.1) | 68.11% ( 0.1) |
| Colorado Rapids Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.47% ( -0.01) | 14.53% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.44% ( -0.01) | 42.56% ( 0.01) |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.13% ( -0.16) | 39.87% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.47% ( -0.15) | 76.53% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colorado Rapids | Draw | Austin FC |
| 1-0 @ 11.17% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 10.77% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.37% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.07% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.29% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 2.59% Total : 60.98% | 1-1 @ 10.27% 0-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.01% Total : 21.63% | 0-1 @ 5.33% 1-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.03% Total : 17.38% |
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