SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Los Angeles FC | 26 | 29 | 57 |
| 2 | Austin FC | 26 | 19 | 48 |
| 3 | Dallas | 28 | 7 | 42 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Los Angeles FC | 26 | 27 | 57 |
| 2 | Dallas | 28 | 7 | 42 |
| 3 | Minnesota United | 26 | 6 | 41 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 37.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.18%) and 0-2 (5.12%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 2-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Austin FC | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
37.96% ( -0.99) | 23.07% ( -0.21) | 38.97% ( 1.21) |
| Both teams to score 65.09% ( 0.84) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.82% ( 1.08) | 36.18% ( -1.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.71% ( 1.18) | 58.29% ( -1.17) |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.45% ( 0.02) | 19.55% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.54% ( 0.02) | 51.46% ( -0.02) |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.91% ( 1.03) | 19.09% ( -1.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.3% ( 1.68) | 50.7% ( -1.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| Austin FC | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
| 2-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.17) 1-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.33)2-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.27)3-1 @ 4.48% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.33% Total : 37.96% | 1-1 @ 10.08% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 6.82% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.2)3-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.39% Total : 23.06% | 1-2 @ 8.35% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 4.61% ( 0.2)2-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.16)0-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.12)1-4 @ 1.91% ( 0.14)2-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.11)0-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.09)Other @ 3.48% Total : 38.97% |
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