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AF
Major League Soccer
Jul 25, 2022 at 1am UK
Austin FC Stadium
NY
Austin
3 - 4
NY Red Bulls
Driussi (45', 69'), Finlay (81')
Felipe (4'), Ring (57')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Ngoma (14'), Yearwood (26'), Harper (51'), Barlow (65')
Klimala (21'), Harper (48'), Edwards (64')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dallas 1-1 Austin
Sunday, July 17 at 2am in Major League Soccer

We said: Austin FC 3-1 New York Red Bulls

Given the way New York defend, so deep in their own zone, we expect the Verde and Black to have their share of quality scoring opportunities, and they know better than most in MLS how to find the back of the net. The Red Bulls are fantastic in transition, but Austin are pretty good at defending, and can count on the splendid goalkeeping of Brad Stuver, who has made several key saves throughout the year. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 43.56%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Austin FCDrawNew York Red Bulls
43.56% (2.003 2) 25.35% (-0.216 -0.22) 31.08% (-1.783 -1.78)
Both teams to score 55.05% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.48% (0.341 0.34)48.52% (-0.338 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.35% (0.309 0.31)70.65% (-0.307 -0.31)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.77% (1.112 1.11)22.23% (-1.11 -1.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.34% (1.646 1.65)55.66% (-1.644 -1.64)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.79% (-0.998 -1)29.21% (0.999 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.84% (-1.244 -1.24)65.16% (1.247 1.25)
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 43.56%
    New York Red Bulls 31.08%
    Draw 25.35%
Austin FCDrawNew York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 9.76% (0.184 0.18)
2-1 @ 9.04% (0.215 0.22)
2-0 @ 7.34% (0.372 0.37)
3-1 @ 4.53% (0.251 0.25)
3-0 @ 3.68% (0.3 0.3)
3-2 @ 2.79% (0.08 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.7% (0.147 0.15)
4-0 @ 1.38% (0.154 0.15)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 43.56%
1-1 @ 12.01% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 6.49% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.56% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.35%
0-1 @ 7.99% (-0.341 -0.34)
1-2 @ 7.39% (-0.277 -0.28)
0-2 @ 4.92% (-0.355 -0.36)
1-3 @ 3.03% (-0.203 -0.2)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.02% (-0.207 -0.21)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 31.08%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Dallas 1-1 Austin
Sunday, July 17 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 3-1 Houston
Wednesday, July 13 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 0-3 Austin
Sunday, July 10 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Colorado 2-3 Austin
Tuesday, July 5 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 0-1 Austin
Friday, July 1 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 2-2 Dallas
Sunday, June 26 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 0-1 NY City
Sunday, July 17 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 1-1 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, July 10 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 0-1 NY Red Bulls
Monday, July 4 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-1 Atlanta
Friday, July 1 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 2-0 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, June 26 at 8pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-0 Toronto
Sunday, June 19 at 12am in Major League Soccer

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