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Major League Soccer

Aug 21, 2022 at 1am UK

National Sports Center

Minnesota Utd
2 - 1
Austin

Reynoso (25' pen.), Fragapane (62')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Driussi (45+2' pen.)
Kolmanic (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Minnesota United and Austin FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Minnesota United 2-1 Austin FC

The Minnesota defence on home soil, and when you combine that with a hot goalie who seems to have regained his confidence, we expect the Loons to maintain their strong play and come out on top this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 51.36%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 24.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 0-1 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Minnesota United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Minnesota United.

Result
Minnesota United	Draw	Austin FC
51.36% ( -0.25)	23.81% ( 0.02)	24.83% ( 0.24)

Both teams to score 55.45% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.15% (

0.12)

45.85% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.84% (

0.12)

68.16% (

-0.11)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.13% (

-0.05)

17.87% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.36% (

-0.09)

48.65% (

0.09)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.51% (

0.26)

32.49% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.99% (

0.3)

69.01% (

-0.29)

Score Analysis

Minnesota United 51.36%

Austin FC 24.83%

Draw 23.81%

Minnesota United	Draw	Austin FC
1-0 @ 10% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 5.56% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 3.59% Total : 51.36%	1-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.81%	0-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.53% Total : 24.83%