Buoyed by last weekend's victory, Sporting Kansas City will head into Saturday with renewed belief as they mount a charge from the bottom of the conference standings. While taking on Austin FC is a stern task for any side in the division, we are backing the Wizards to do just enough to leave with a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 63.67%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 16.08%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 0-1 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.

Result
Austin FC	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
63.67% ( 0.21)	20.24% ( -0.08)	16.08% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 53.24% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.04% (

0.12)

41.95% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.64% (

0.12)

64.36% (

-0.12)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.48% (

0.1)

12.51% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.48% (

0.2)

38.52% (

-0.2)

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.86% (

-0.09)

39.14% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.14% (

-0.09)

75.85% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Austin FC 63.66%

Sporting Kansas City 16.08%

Draw 20.24%

Austin FC	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
2-0 @ 10.57% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 10.17% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.88% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.57% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.22% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.44% Total : 63.66%	1-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.24%	0-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) Other @ 2% Total : 16.08%