SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 46.22%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.57%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 6-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Louis City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Louis City | Draw | Austin FC |
46.22% ( -0.77) | 23.25% ( 0.18) | 30.52% ( 0.59) |
| Both teams to score 62.07% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.81% ( -0.52) | 39.19% ( 0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.48% ( -0.55) | 61.52% ( 0.55) |
| St Louis City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.71% ( -0.5) | 17.29% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.36% ( -0.88) | 47.64% ( 0.88) |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.05% ( 0.11) | 24.95% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.41% ( 0.16) | 59.58% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Louis City | Draw | Austin FC |
| 2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 5.4% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 3.89% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.06)Other @ 4.05% Total : 46.22% | 1-1 @ 10.51% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.4% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.25% | 1-2 @ 7.3% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 5.99% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.96% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 2.61% Total : 30.52% |
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