SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 53.76%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 22.59%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Austin FC | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
53.76% ( -0.01) | 23.65% ( 0.01) | 22.59% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 53.35% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.62% ( -0.03) | 47.38% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.4% ( -0.02) | 69.6% ( 0.03) |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.45% ( -0.01) | 17.54% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.92% ( -0.02) | 48.08% ( 0.03) |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.7% ( -0.01) | 35.3% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.94% ( -0.01) | 72.05% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Austin FC | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 1-0 @ 10.77% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.38% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.67% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.44% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.47% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.37% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0)Other @ 3.66% Total : 53.75% | 1-1 @ 11.22% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.65% | 0-1 @ 6.45% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.84% 0-2 @ 3.36% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.03% 2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 1.98% Total : 22.59% |
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