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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 45
Nov 4, 2021 at 1am UK
Austin FC Stadium
SK

Austin
3 - 1
Kansas

Driussi (1'), Cascante (22'), Stroud (60')
Gallagher (50')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Russell (65')
Isimat-Mirin (21')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.32%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.

Result
Austin FCDrawSporting Kansas City
43.57%23.48%32.94%
Both teams to score 62.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.78%39.22%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.45%61.55%
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.63%18.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.51%49.49%
Sporting Kansas City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.48%23.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.44%57.56%
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 43.57%
    Sporting Kansas City 32.94%
    Draw 23.48%
Austin FCDrawSporting Kansas City
2-1 @ 8.98%
1-0 @ 7.32%
2-0 @ 6.2%
3-1 @ 5.07%
3-2 @ 3.67%
3-0 @ 3.5%
4-1 @ 2.15%
4-2 @ 1.56%
4-0 @ 1.48%
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 43.57%
1-1 @ 10.59%
2-2 @ 6.5%
0-0 @ 4.32%
3-3 @ 1.77%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.48%
1-2 @ 7.67%
0-1 @ 6.25%
0-2 @ 4.53%
1-3 @ 3.7%
2-3 @ 3.13%
0-3 @ 2.18%
1-4 @ 1.34%
2-4 @ 1.13%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 32.94%

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