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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 42
Oct 24, 2021 at 10pm UK
Austin FC Stadium
HD

Austin
2 - 1
Houston

Maric (7' og.), Driussi (45+4')
Pereira (38'), Driussi (47'), Kolmanic (54')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Cascante (90+2' og.)
Ceren (11'), Vera (74')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 52.01%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 25.17% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Austin FC in this match.

Result
Austin FCDrawHouston Dynamo
52.01%22.82%25.17%
Both teams to score 59.16%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.91%41.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.51%63.49%
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.12%15.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.89%45.11%
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.34%29.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.29%65.71%
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 52.01%
    Houston Dynamo 25.17%
    Draw 22.82%
Austin FCDrawHouston Dynamo
2-1 @ 9.69%
1-0 @ 8.67%
2-0 @ 7.98%
3-1 @ 5.94%
3-0 @ 4.89%
3-2 @ 3.61%
4-1 @ 2.73%
4-0 @ 2.25%
4-2 @ 1.66%
5-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 52.01%
1-1 @ 10.53%
2-2 @ 5.89%
0-0 @ 4.71%
3-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.82%
1-2 @ 6.4%
0-1 @ 5.73%
0-2 @ 3.48%
1-3 @ 2.59%
2-3 @ 2.39%
0-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 25.17%

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