SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 59.78%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 18.91%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Toronto win it was 1-2 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Austin FC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Austin FC.
| Result | ||
| Austin FC | Draw | Toronto |
59.78% ( 0.04) | 21.31% ( -0.02) | 18.91% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 55.41% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.09% ( 0.06) | 41.91% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.69% ( 0.06) | 64.31% ( -0.06) |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.36% ( 0.03) | 13.64% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.19% ( 0.07) | 40.81% ( -0.06) |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.16% ( 0.02) | 35.83% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.39% ( 0.02) | 72.61% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Austin FC | Draw | Toronto |
| 2-1 @ 9.95% 1-0 @ 9.74% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 9.7% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.61% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.44% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.69% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.28% ( 0)Other @ 3.17% Total : 59.78% | 1-1 @ 9.99% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.31% | 1-2 @ 5.13% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.75% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0)Other @ 2.69% Total : 18.91% |
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