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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 59.43%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 19.87%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.73%) and 1-0 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Austin FC | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
59.43% ( -1.17) | 20.7% ( 0.47) | 19.87% ( 0.7) |
| Both teams to score 59.31% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.42% ( -1.13) | 37.58% ( 1.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.19% ( -1.23) | 59.81% ( 1.22) |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.63% ( -0.68) | 12.36% ( 0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.78% ( -1.43) | 38.21% ( 1.43) |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.68% ( 0.03) | 32.32% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.17% ( 0.03) | 68.82% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Austin FC | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.24)3-1 @ 6.87% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 6.08% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 3.59% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.17)4-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.1)5-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.12)5-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.11)Other @ 4.02% Total : 59.43% | 1-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4% ( 0.21)3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.24% Total : 20.7% | 1-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.25)0-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.42% Total : 19.87% |
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