SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 56.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 19.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Austin FC |
56.96% ( -0.02) | 23.12% ( 0.01) | 19.92% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.23% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.68% ( -0.04) | 48.31% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.54% ( -0.04) | 70.46% ( 0.03) |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.26% ( -0.02) | 16.73% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.35% ( -0.04) | 46.65% ( 0.04) |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.52% ( -0.02) | 38.47% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.78% ( -0.02) | 75.22% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Austin FC |
| 1-0 @ 11.5% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.28% 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.13% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.86% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.74% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.62% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.98% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.03% Total : 56.94% | 1-1 @ 10.99% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0)Other @ 0.99% Total : 23.11% | 0-1 @ 6.15% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.25% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.94% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.67% 2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0)0-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.48% Total : 19.92% |
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