Games involving St Louis tend to be exciting affairs, and we think that the first-ever meeting between Orlando and the Western Conference leaders will produce an enthralling contest, with both teams having to settle for a share of the spoils.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 66.68%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 14.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.14%), while for a St Louis City win it was 0-1 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.
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