Both New York Red Bulls and Charlotte will be desperate to return to winning was and boost their chances of securing at least a top-seven finish in the Eastern Conference, but with little to separate these two teams, a score draw could be on the cards at the Red Bull Arena.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 57.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Charlotte FC win it was 0-1 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
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