SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 59.27%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 18.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Charlotte FC win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New York City FC | Draw | Charlotte FC |
59.27% ( -0.02) | 22.09% ( 0.01) | 18.64% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.32% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.23% ( -0.02) | 45.77% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.91% ( -0.02) | 68.09% ( 0.02) |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.93% ( -0.01) | 15.07% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.41% ( -0.02) | 43.59% ( 0.02) |
| Charlotte FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.6% ( 0) | 38.39% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.85% ( 0) | 75.15% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| New York City FC | Draw | Charlotte FC |
| 1-0 @ 10.95% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.36% 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.54% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.26% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.09% ( -0)3-2 @ 3% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.96% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.17% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 2.5% Total : 59.27% | 1-1 @ 10.48% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.75% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.09% | 0-1 @ 5.54% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.02% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.65% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.6% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.32% Total : 18.64% |
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