SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 54.67%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Orlando City |
54.67% ( 0.07) | 24.22% ( 0.01) | 21.1% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 49.62% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.65% ( -0.14) | 51.35% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.82% ( -0.12) | 73.17% ( 0.12) |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.31% ( -0.03) | 18.68% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.97% ( -0.04) | 50.03% ( 0.04) |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.02% ( -0.17) | 38.98% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.29% ( -0.16) | 75.7% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Orlando City |
| 1-0 @ 12.21% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 10.24% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.4% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.26% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.15% Total : 54.66% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.88% Total : 24.22% | 0-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.44% Total : 21.1% |
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