Inter Miami will have been boosted by their recent three-game unbeaten run, and we are backing the home side to claim a point here. New York City won 2-0 in the reverse fixture towards the end of July, but the title hopefuls might be forced to settle for a share of the spoils in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 47.95%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 28.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 2-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Inter Miami	Draw	New York City FC
28.54% ( -0.25)	23.51% ( -0.1)	47.95% ( 0.35)

Both teams to score 59.82% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.41% (

0.28)

41.59% (

-0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.01% (

0.29)

63.99% (

-0.29)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.56% (

-0.03)

27.44% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.07% (

-0.04)

62.93% (

0.04)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.44% (

0.25)

17.56% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.9% (

0.42)

48.1% (

-0.42)

Score Analysis

Inter Miami 28.55%

New York City FC 47.95%

Draw 23.5%

Inter Miami	Draw	New York City FC
2-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.02% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.92% Total : 28.55%	1-1 @ 10.83% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.5%	1-2 @ 9.43% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 7.29% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.47% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 4.23% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 3.54% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.38% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.84% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.86% Total : 47.95%