The Reb Bulls have looked much more composed defensively of late, and even though the Herons have generated some positive results recently, they do not appear to be as organised at the back away from home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 58.15%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 17.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.63%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.

Result
New York Red Bulls	Draw	Inter Miami
58.15% ( 0.14)	23.93% ( 0)	17.92% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 45.54% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.83% (

-0.22)

54.16% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.42% (

-0.19)

75.58% (

0.18)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.56% (

-0.03)

18.43% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.39% (

-0.05)

49.6% (

0.05)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.83% (

-0.32)

44.16% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.74% (

-0.26)

80.25% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

New York Red Bulls 58.14%

Inter Miami 17.92%

Draw 23.93%

New York Red Bulls	Draw	Inter Miami
1-0 @ 13.76% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 11.63% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.36% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.27% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 0.94% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.21% Total : 58.14%	1-1 @ 11.25% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.65% Total : 23.93%	0-1 @ 6.65% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.64% Total : 17.92%