Major League Soccer

Jul 31, 2022 at 12.30am UK

Saputo Stadium

Montreal
0 - 0
NY City

Johnston (35'), Waterman (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: CF Montreal 1-2 New York City FC

If you are going off sheer name recognition and reputation, no Castellanos should make the Montreal backline feel a lot better about themselves, but the fact is that NYCFC have quality players all over the field who can win matches. Defensively speaking, Montreal still have not sorted out their issues, and we expect the quality of the reigning champs will be enough to earn them another three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New York City FC win with a probability of 37.97%. A win for CF Montreal has a probability of 37.12% and a draw has a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.18%) and 0-2 (5.91%). The likeliest CF Montreal win is 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.66%).

Result
CF Montreal	Draw	New York City FC
37.12% ( -0)	24.91% ( -0.01)	37.97% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 58.09% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.77% (

0.05)

45.23% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.42% (

0.05)

67.57% (

-0.05)

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.99% (

0.02)

24.01% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.74% (

0.03)

58.26% (

-0.03)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.44% (

0.03)

23.56% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.38% (

0.04)

57.62% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

CF Montreal 37.12%

New York City FC 37.97%

Draw 24.9%

CF Montreal	Draw	New York City FC
2-1 @ 8.32% 1-0 @ 8.07% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.76% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.96% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.74% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 2% Total : 37.12%	1-1 @ 11.66% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.9%	1-2 @ 8.43% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.91% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.06% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.9% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.85% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.47% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.09% Total : 37.97%