Major League Soccer

Aug 21, 2022 at 12.30am UK

Saputo Stadium

Montreal
4 - 0
New England

Kamara (26'), Quioto (39', 55'), Miljevic (90+1' pen.)
Corbo (82')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Gil (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: CF Montreal 2-1 New England Revolution

Both of these teams have been vulnerable on the back end, though we are giving Montreal the edge as they have found a way to overcome that deficiency throughout the campaign, plus they will have a few more days rest in between games compared to the Revs. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 55.41%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 21.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 1-2 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.

Result
CF Montreal	Draw	New England Revolution
55.41% ( 2.02)	22.63% ( -0.41)	21.96% ( -1.6)

Both teams to score 55.86% (

-0.72)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.35% (

0.03)

43.65% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.96% (

0.03)

66.04% (

-0.03)

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.38% (

0.7)

15.62% (

-0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.38% (

1.3)

44.62% (

-1.3)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.2% (

-1.42)

33.8% (

1.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.54% (

-1.57)

70.46% (

1.57)

Score Analysis

CF Montreal 55.41%

New England Revolution 21.96%

Draw 22.63%

CF Montreal	Draw	New England Revolution
2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 9.8% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.42) 3-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.39) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.16) 4-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.24) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.08) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.58% Total : 55.41%	1-1 @ 10.63% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.63%	1-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.32) 0-1 @ 5.73% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.26) 1-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.21% Total : 21.96%