Major League Soccer

Aug 4, 2022 at 12.30am UK

Columbus Crew Stadium

Columbus Crew
1 - 2
Montreal

Zelarayan (14')
Diaz Espinoza (47')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kamara (88'), Waterman (90+4')
Waterman (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Columbus Crew and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Columbus Crew 3-1 CF Montreal

As sound as they looked on the back end in their previous match, one solid outing is not enough to prove that Montreal have solved its defensive issues. They have been inferior in that department away from home, allowing three or more goals in five road matches in all competitions this year. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 52.25%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 22.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Columbus Crew	Draw	CF Montreal
52.25% ( -0.53)	24.9% ( 0.35)	22.84% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 49.81% (

-0.86)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.78% (

-1.23)

52.22% (

1.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.07% (

-1.07)

73.93% (

1.07)

Columbus Crew Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.03% (

-0.7)

19.97% (

0.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.86% (

-1.13)

52.13% (

1.12)

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.24% (

-0.52)

37.76% (

0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.46% (

-0.51)

74.53% (

0.51)

Score Analysis

Columbus Crew 52.25%

CF Montreal 22.84%

Draw 24.9%

Columbus Crew	Draw	CF Montreal
1-0 @ 12.14% ( 0.33) 2-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.75% Total : 52.25%	1-1 @ 11.83% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.89% Total : 24.9%	0-1 @ 7.34% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 5.76% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.62% Total : 22.84%