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CF
Major League Soccer
Jul 10, 2022 at 1am UK
Toyota Park
CC
Chicago Fire
2 - 3
Columbus Crew
Czichos (29'), Mueller (41')
Gimenez (14'), Czichos (43'), Navarro (50'), Gutierrez (54'), Duran (60')
Navarro (88')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Etienne (63', 75'), Camilo Hernandez (83')
Moreira (8'), Mensah (71'), Camilo Hernandez (84')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Earthquakes 2-1 Chicago Fire
Monday, July 4 at 2am in Major League Soccer

We said: Chicago Fire 0-2 Columbus Crew

Granted, their league position does not suggest the best of seasons, yet Columbus are finding their feet in the Eastern Conference. Against the lowest-ranked side in the conference, expect Columbus to cruise to a comfortable win this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 47.45%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 25.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.47%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Columbus Crew win it was 0-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.

Result
Chicago FireDrawColumbus Crew
47.45% (-0.38 -0.38) 27.32% (0.038 0.04) 25.23% (0.34 0.34)
Both teams to score 45.42% (0.182 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.83% (0.088000000000001 0.09)59.16% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.4% (0.068999999999999 0.07)79.59% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.99% (-0.142 -0.14)25.01% (0.142 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.33% (-0.198 -0.2)59.66% (0.196 0.2)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.57% (0.35599999999999 0.36)39.43% (-0.358 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.87% (0.331 0.33)76.12% (-0.33199999999999 -0.33)
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 47.44%
    Columbus Crew 25.23%
    Draw 27.31%
Chicago FireDrawColumbus Crew
1-0 @ 13.66% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-0 @ 9.47% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 8.81% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.38% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.07% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.9% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.52% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.41% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 47.44%
1-1 @ 12.71% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 9.86% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.1% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 27.31%
0-1 @ 9.18% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
1-2 @ 5.92% (0.071 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.27% (0.068 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.84% (0.04 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.33% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.27% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 25.23%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Earthquakes 2-1 Chicago Fire
Monday, July 4 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-0 Philadelphia
Thursday, June 30 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 2-0 Chicago Fire
Sunday, June 26 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-0 DC United
Sunday, June 19 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 3-2 Chicago Fire
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 1-0 Chicago Fire
Sunday, May 22 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 0-0 Philadelphia
Monday, July 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 1-2 Columbus Crew
Thursday, June 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 0-0 Columbus Crew
Sunday, June 26 at 3am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 1-1 Charlotte FC
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 1-2 Columbus Crew
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 0-2 Los Angeles
Saturday, May 21 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer

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