SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 46.21%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 27.83% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for CF Montreal in this match.
| Result | ||
| CF Montreal | Draw | New England Revolution |
46.21% ( 0.05) | 25.96% ( 0.01) | 27.83% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 51.24% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.39% ( -0.07) | 52.61% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.74% ( -0.06) | 74.26% ( 0.06) |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.26% ( -0.01) | 22.74% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.59% ( -0.01) | 56.41% ( 0.01) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.32% ( -0.08) | 33.68% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.67% ( -0.09) | 70.33% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| CF Montreal | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 1-0 @ 11.34% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.51% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.67% 4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.09% Total : 46.21% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.96% | 0-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.36% Total : 27.83% |
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