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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 60.46%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 18.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New England Revolution | Draw | Austin FC |
60.46% ( 1.55) | 21.52% ( -0.52) | 18.02% ( -1.04) |
| Both teams to score 53.03% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.75% ( 0.66) | 44.25% ( -0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.37% ( 0.63) | 66.63% ( -0.64) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.81% ( 0.71) | 14.19% ( -0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.1% ( 1.36) | 41.9% ( -1.36) |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.8% ( -0.77) | 38.2% ( 0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.04% ( -0.74) | 74.96% ( 0.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| New England Revolution | Draw | Austin FC |
| 1-0 @ 10.58% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.33% ( 0.23)2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.31)3-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.17)4-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.23)4-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.12)5-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.81% Total : 60.46% | 1-1 @ 10.18% ( -0.25) 0-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.51% | 0-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.22)0-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.18)1-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.28% Total : 18.02% |
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