SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 55.72%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for DC United had a probability of 21.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a DC United win it was 1-2 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New England Revolution | Draw | DC United |
55.72% ( -0.23) | 22.56% ( -0.22) | 21.71% ( 0.44) |
| Both teams to score 55.74% ( 1.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.35% ( 1.48) | 43.64% ( -1.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.96% ( 1.43) | 66.03% ( -1.44) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.48% ( 0.43) | 15.52% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.57% ( 0.81) | 44.42% ( -0.82) |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.97% ( 1.26) | 34.02% ( -1.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.29% ( 1.33) | 70.7% ( -1.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| New England Revolution | Draw | DC United |
| 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.84% ( -0.49)2-0 @ 9.16% ( -0.32)3-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.16)4-1 @ 2.86% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.1)5-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 55.72% | 1-1 @ 10.6% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.18)0-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.35)3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.56% | 1-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 5.69% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.17% Total : 21.71% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
