SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 50.56%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 25.4% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 0-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | New England Revolution |
50.56% ( -0.05) | 24.03% ( 0.02) | 25.4% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 55.31% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.69% ( -0.05) | 46.31% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.4% ( -0.04) | 68.59% ( 0.04) |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.64% ( -0.03) | 18.35% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.53% ( -0.06) | 49.46% ( 0.06) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.73% ( 0) | 32.26% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.24% ( 0) | 68.76% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Minnesota United | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 1-0 @ 10.03% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.51% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.31% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.04% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0)Other @ 3.41% Total : 50.55% | 1-1 @ 11.35% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.03% | 0-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.42% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.42% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.05% 0-3 @ 1.43% ( 0)Other @ 2.59% Total : 25.4% |
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