Even against a well-disciplined defensive unit like the Red Bulls, we expect New England to have the bulk of the opportunities on Wednesday, and they rarely missed their chances when presented.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 52.29%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 22.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for New England Revolution in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for New England Revolution.
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