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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 57.9%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 19.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Chicago Fire |
57.9% ( 0.03) | 22.49% ( -0.01) | 19.6% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.69% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.88% ( 0.03) | 46.11% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.58% ( 0.03) | 68.41% ( -0.03) |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.36% ( 0.02) | 15.64% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.34% ( 0.04) | 44.66% ( -0.04) |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.45% ( -0) | 37.54% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.67% ( -0) | 74.32% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 1-0 @ 10.89% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.1% 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.12% ( 0)3-2 @ 3% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.9% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.84% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.08% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 2.37% Total : 57.89% | 1-1 @ 10.67% 0-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.85% 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.49% | 0-1 @ 5.75% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.23% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.82% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.58% 0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 1.59% Total : 19.6% |
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