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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 49.22%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 26.81% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Columbus Crew |
49.22% ( 1.06) | 23.96% ( -0.32) | 26.81% ( -0.74) |
| Both teams to score 56.85% ( 0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.13% ( 0.87) | 44.87% ( -0.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.77% ( 0.83) | 67.22% ( -0.83) |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.68% ( 0.76) | 18.32% ( -0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.59% ( 1.27) | 49.41% ( -1.27) |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.61% ( -0.11) | 30.39% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.41% ( -0.13) | 66.58% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 5.4% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 2.29% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.47% Total : 49.22% | 1-1 @ 11.25% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.21)3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.96% | 1-2 @ 6.7% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.27)0-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.04% Total : 26.81% |
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