SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 48.93%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 25.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Portland Timbers | Draw | New York City FC |
48.93% ( 2.35) | 25.47% ( -0.66) | 25.59% ( -1.69) |
| Both teams to score 50.95% ( 0.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.86% ( 1.47) | 52.13% ( -1.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.15% ( 1.25) | 73.85% ( -1.26) |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.67% ( 1.66) | 21.32% ( -1.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.72% ( 2.51) | 54.27% ( -2.51) |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.76% ( -0.6) | 35.23% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28% ( -0.63) | 71.99% ( 0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portland Timbers | Draw | New York City FC |
| 1-0 @ 11.61% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.23)2-0 @ 8.97% ( 0.37)3-1 @ 4.82% ( 0.35)3-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.4)3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.22)4-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.24)4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.41% Total : 48.93% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( -0.3) 0-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.45)2-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.97% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.61) 1-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.26)0-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.39)1-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.16)Other @ 2.04% Total : 25.59% |
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