SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colorado Rapids win with a probability of 61.22%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 18.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colorado Rapids win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 1-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 1-2 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Colorado Rapids would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Colorado Rapids | Draw | CF Montreal |
61.22% ( -0.4) | 20.73% ( 0.17) | 18.04% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 55.73% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.31% ( -0.4) | 40.68% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.93% ( -0.41) | 63.07% ( 0.41) |
| Colorado Rapids Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.17% ( -0.24) | 12.82% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.83% ( -0.5) | 39.16% ( 0.49) |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.93% ( 0.02) | 36.06% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.15% ( 0.02) | 72.84% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colorado Rapids | Draw | CF Montreal |
| 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.75% ( 0)1-0 @ 9.5% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 6.81% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.51% Total : 61.22% | 1-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.73% | 1-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.57% Total : 18.04% |
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