St Louis are flying right now and their momentum should carry them through this game.
San Jose's dreadful away record means that City will be confident of making it four wins in a row in front of their own fans on Sunday morning.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 50.14%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 24.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-0 (7.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that St Louis City would win this match.
-0.82) 
0.83) 
