Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 58.67%. A win for St Louis City had a probability of 20.79% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.15%) and 1-0 (7.66%). The likeliest St Louis City win was 1-2 (5.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Portland Timbers | Draw | St Louis City |
58.67% ( 0.36) | 20.54% ( -0.13) | 20.79% ( -0.22) |
Both teams to score 61.47% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.55% ( 0.32) | 35.46% ( -0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.51% ( 0.35) | 57.5% ( -0.35) |
Portland Timbers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.09% ( 0.2) | 11.91% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.74% ( 0.42) | 37.26% ( -0.41) |
St Louis City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.79% ( -0.01) | 30.22% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.62% ( -0.02) | 66.38% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Portland Timbers | Draw | St Louis City |
2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.15% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 6.92% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.68% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.03) 5-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.52% Total : 58.67% | 1-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.29% Total : 20.54% | 1-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 4.31% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.88% Total : 20.79% |
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