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Major League Soccer
Mar 12, 2023 at 3.30am UK
Providence Park
SL

Portland
1 - 2
St Louis City

McGraw (3')
Zuparic (54'), Moreno (68'), McGraw (74')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Stroud (45+1'), Hiebert (75')
Stroud (29'), Perez (65')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Los Angeles 3-2 Portland
Saturday, March 4 at 9.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: St Louis City 3-1 Charlotte FC
Sunday, March 5 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Portland Timbers 2-2 St Louis City

We believe that this fixture will present goalscoring opportunities for both teams, as the two sides are susceptible to lapses in concentration at the back. Therefore, we think that this affair will end level, but will be a high-scoring matchup due to the nature of both sides.

How to watch

You can watch Portland Timbers vs. St Louis City and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 58.67%. A win for St Louis City had a probability of 20.79% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.15%) and 1-0 (7.66%). The likeliest St Louis City win was 1-2 (5.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawSt Louis City
58.67% (0.35599999999999 0.36) 20.54% (-0.13 -0.13) 20.79% (-0.218 -0.22)
Both teams to score 61.47% (0.125 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.55% (0.31999999999999 0.32)35.46% (-0.311 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.51% (0.353 0.35)57.5% (-0.346 -0.35)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.09% (0.20399999999999 0.2)11.91% (-0.196 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.74% (0.423 0.42)37.26% (-0.415 -0.41)
St Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.79% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)30.22% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.62% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)66.38% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 58.67%
    St Louis City 20.79%
    Draw 20.54%
Portland TimbersDrawSt Louis City
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.15% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 7.66% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.92% (0.048 0.05)
3-0 @ 5.78% (0.043 0.04)
3-2 @ 4.14% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.68% (0.054 0.05)
4-0 @ 3.07% (0.047 0.05)
4-2 @ 2.2% (0.031 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.57% (0.035 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.31% (0.03 0.03)
5-2 @ 0.94% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 58.67%
1-1 @ 9.17% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.83% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.6% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.65% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 20.54%
1-2 @ 5.49% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-1 @ 4.31% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-2 @ 2.58% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.19% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.03% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 20.79%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Los Angeles 3-2 Portland
Saturday, March 4 at 9.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 1-0 Kansas
Tuesday, February 28 at 3am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 3-1 Portland
Sunday, October 9 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 1-2 Los Angeles
Sunday, October 2 at 8pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 1-1 Portland
Sunday, September 18 at 6pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 1-0 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, September 11 at 3am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: St Louis City 3-1 Charlotte FC
Sunday, March 5 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 2-3 St Louis City
Sunday, February 26 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer


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